28/11/2024 by Thomas Lovell
The Laffer Curve, conceived by economist Dr. Arthur Laffer, illustrates the relationship between tax rates and government revenue. While Laffer popularized the term, the idea has been around since the 14th century, with roots in the writings of Muslim philosopher Ibn Khaldun and references in John Maynard Keynes' work.
In essence, Laffer's theory posits that excessively low tax rates yield insufficient revenue, while overly high rates can deter productive behavior, ultimately decreasing tax income. Activities subject to tax, such as consumption, share sales, and investments, may decline if taxed too heavily, negatively impacting government revenue.
The Laffer Curve suggests an optimal tax rate—neither too high nor too low—that maximizes tax revenue without altering taxpayer behavior. This principle is particularly relevant in the context of Capital Gains Tax (CGT) and the Chancellor's recent decision to raise this tax to 24%. While this increase fell short of the anticipated hikes, which some speculated could reach 39%, it is expected to generate some additional revenue without a substantial impact.
Why 24%?
A recent precedent exists: Jeremy Hunt reduced the CGT rate for selling second homes from 28% to 24%, effective April 2024. This adjustment was partly intended to alleviate the financial burden on second homeowners facing additional taxes elsewhere. The rationale behind this lower rate was to incentivize property sales, subsequently boosting tax revenues and freeing up housing for first-time buyers in a market desperately in need of inventory.
Advised by Treasury officials, Hunt believed 24% hit the sweet spot on the Laffer Curve.
Robert Peston remarked on X that the shift to 24% was less radical than anticipated, attributing it to HMRC's lack of resources to fully analyze the implications of a more comprehensive overhaul, leading Reeves to choose a less controversial path. However, it seems unlikely she overlooked Whitehall reports indicating that a more significant increase in CGT would likely result in reduced overall tax revenue due to behavioral shifts in investment.
Ultimately, 24% appears to be the ideal rate on the Laffer Curve, as she was likely advised. While the true rationale behind the decision may remain elusive, it underscores a shared recognition among politicians and economists of the limits to which tax rates can be raised before they lose effectiveness.
If you have any questions or wish to explore your options, reach out to us. Our team of experts is ready to assist you. please don’t hesitate to contact us on 01763 261366 or email info@hflfinancial.com
The information available through HFL Advisory Services is for your general information. In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation and is not intended to be relied upon by users in making (or refraining from making) any investment decisions. Appropriate independent advice should be taken before making any such decision. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments may go down as well as up and you may not get back the money you originally invested.
HFL Advisory Services is a trading name of IWP Financial Planning Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. FCA Reference 441359. Registered in the UK at Blythe Lea Barn, Mill Farm, Packington Park, Meriden, Coventry, West Midlands, CV7 7HE. Company Number 04138186.
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08/11/2024 by Thomas Lovell
Unveiling one the most hotly anticipated budgets in recent history on Wednesday, Chancellor Rachel Reeves set the direction of travel for the Labour Government.
The Autumn Budget 2024 includes a raft of headline-grabbing announcements, with major implications for everything from capital gains tax to inheritance tax.
Your financial planner can help you decode the impact this week’s revelations could have on your own financial plan, working with you to review the strategies you have in place to reach your goals and objectives.
Below, we outline some of the most significant announcements from this landmark £40bn budget, and look at what they could mean for you.
Inheritance tax
The inheritance tax threshold has been frozen for another two years from 2028 until 2030. The tax, which is currently 40%, is usually paid on the value of the estate of someone who has passed away. The first £325,000 of any estate can be inherited tax-free, rising to £500,000 if the estate includes a residence passed to direct descendants, and £1m for married couples combining their allowances.
The Chancellor announced that from April 2027, inherited pensions will be included in the value of an estate.
These measures are likely to pull many more estates into the inheritance tax net.
Reeves also announced plans to cap inheritance tax relief on agricultural land and family businesses, which currently can be transferred tax-free. This change will also impact AIM Portfolios of more than £1m.
“From April 2026, the first £1m of combined business and agricultural assets will continue to attract no inheritance tax at all, but for assets over £1m, inheritance tax will apply with 50 per cent relief, at an effective rate of 20 per cent,” she said.
Pensions
There was mixed news for people investing in their pensions, with the rumoured change in tax relief not forthcoming. Rumours in recent weeks had suggested The Chancellor may have cut the percentage of tax-free cash available from 25% or reduce the maximum amount from its current £268,275. That said, those pensions which have not been drawn down or converted into an annuity would be added to an individual’s estate and subject to Inheritance Tax (IHT) in the event of their death.
The most notable change to pensions is a medium-term adjustment that will include pension death benefits in the estate for Inheritance Tax purposes starting 6 April 2027. The practical implications are still unclear, prompting a consultation that will continue until 22 January 2025. This marks a substantial shift in how individuals perceive pensions and the transfer of unused wealth to their families.
In the future, some individuals might prefer to make more withdrawals from their pensions while remaining within the basic rate income tax band to spend, gift, or protect that income. For instance, they may consider using pension withdrawals to establish an ISA or a pension for their grandchildren, or even to create a trust bond, which can be beneficial for Inheritance Tax planning. This represents yet another significant shift in pension legislation, highlighting the pressing need for an independent authority to provide greater long-term stability regarding pension and savings tax regulations. It serves as a reminder of the inadequacies surrounding the implementation of the lifetime allowance abolition, underscoring the necessity for additional regulatory changes even six months later.
Tax rises
“No tax rises for working people’ was an effective election promise from the Labour Government, coming as it did in the midst of a period of high inflation and stagnated incomes.
But the pledge has led to a tricky tightrope for Chancellor Rachel Reeves to walk as she tries to raise funds to meet the proposed spending outlined while keeping her word of not increasing VAT, national insurance or income tax – the very taxes that would raise the most.
She has attempted to circumnavigate this by increasing employer’s National Insurance contributions, increasing capital gains tax and tweaking inheritance tax, among other measures.
Personal taxation
Despite heavy speculation ahead of the announcement, there will be no extension of the freeze in income tax and National Insurance thresholds, which is set to end in 2028. This move is designed to prevent more people from being brought into higher tax bands as their wages rise in line with inflation.
Taxpayers pay tax at 20% on income over £12,570, at 40% on incomes over £50,271, and 45% on incomes above £125,140. Income tax rates are set by devolved governments, and may differ from these central bands.
Capital gains tax
The chancellor confirmed a widely anticipated increase in capital gains tax, a tax which is charged on profits made from selling assets such as a second home or shares in a company.
The lower rate will rise from 10% to 18%, with the higher rate rising from 20% to 24%. These rates bring capital gains tax in line with the tax paid on residential property, which remains the same at 18% and 24%. There were no changes to the annual allowance of £3,000.
Stocks and savings falling within your annual ISA allowance of £20,000 are free from capital gains tax, so even if your investments within that tax wrapper rise a significant amount, the government has no claim on this ‘capital gain’.
But any investments which breach this limit will be taxed at your marginal tax rate.
Employers’ National Insurance
The bulk of the tax rises – a hefty £25bn – will be paid for by a hike in the amount employers pay in National Insurance.
Reeves announced that National Insurance contributions by employers will rise from 13.8% to 15%. In addition, the threshold at which businesses start paying National Insurance on a workers’ earnings will be lowered from £9,100 to £5,000.
However, the Employers Allowance – the amount employers can claim back from their National Insurance bill – will be increased from £5,000 to £10,500.
The bottom line
The Autumn Budget 2024 delivered a wide range of amendments which could have a substantial impact on your own financial plan.
Your financial planner will be in touch to discuss these important announcements, and to talk about how you can review your strategy, keep on track with your long-term goals and ensure you’re protecting your financial future.
The information available through HFL Advisory Services is for your general information. In particular, the information does not constitute any form of advice or recommendation and is not intended to be relied upon by users in making (or refraining from making) any investment decisions. Appropriate independent advice should be taken before making any such decision. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of investments may go down as well as up and you may not get back the money you originally invested.
HFL Advisory Services is a trading name of IWP Financial Planning Limited which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. FCA Reference 441359. Registered in the UK at Blythe Lea Barn, Mill Farm, Packington Park, Meriden, Coventry, West Midlands, CV7 7HE. Company Number 04138186.
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16/10/2024 by Thomas Lovell
“There is a budget coming in October and it’s going to be painful.” Prime Minister Keir Starmer has given his strongest hint yet of tax rises to come in the 2024 Autumn Budget.
In his first major speech from 10 Downing Street, the Prime Minister warned there would be tough choices ahead as the Labour government tries to plug a £22 billion “black hole” in public finances, saying “those with the broadest shoulders should bear the heaviest burden.”
All eyes will be on Chancellor Rachel Reeves when she delivers the Autumn Budget on Wednesday 30 October 2024. The statement will be accompanied by an economic forecast from the Office for Budget Responsibility.
What we know so far
The new government has publicly committed to “addressing unfairness” in the tax system and made a pre-election pledge not to increase VAT, Income tax or National Insurance.
The Treasury statement at the end of July confirmed some of Labour’s plans, including the abolition of the non-domicile tax regime, removing the tax advantages for landlords offering short-term holiday lets and introducing 20% VAT on private school fees across the UK from 2025.
While we can only speculate about further details of the forthcoming budget, it’s expected that tax increases will feature.
One option when it comes to personal taxation is to target wealth, in the form of investments, pensions and the generational transfer of assets.
Capital gains tax (CGT)
One of the main possibilities is a rise in CGT rates to align them more closely with income tax rates, especially for higher earners. Currently, tax on capital gains is levied at a lower rate than income tax. Equalising these rates may be a tempting revenue-raising measure. There are also discussions around reducing or removing existing exemptions and allowances, such as Business Asset Disposal Relief, which could impact business owners and entrepreneurs.
Inheritance tax (IHT)
The Chancellor has not ruled out a potential increase in rates of IHT and there are a number of ways in which changes could be introduced. There’s the possibility that the main 40% rate of IHT, which is imposed on properties above the tax-free threshold of £325,000, could be raised. The government could look at modifying some of the reliefs and exemptions such as those which apply to pension assets, agricultural land, charitable donations and qualifying investments. The current gifting regime, which allows IHT to be avoided completely if a gift is made more than seven years before someone’s death, may also be reviewed.
Pensions
It is widely anticipated that Labour will announce changes, with their manifesto promising they will “undertake a review of the pensions landscape”. Income tax relief on pension contributions could be reduced, and compulsory employer pension contributions increased. The ability to take a 25% tax free lump sum from a pension pot could also be reduced or removed, and it’s possible that the Lifetime Allowance, which caps the total amount that can be saved in a pension tax-free, could be reintroduced.
Planning ahead
With the Autumn Budget just around the corner, it might be tempting to try and pre-empt the announcement. While it’s important to be flexible and adaptable, we would advise against making major financial decisions based on speculation. If you have any questions about how tax changes might impact you, contact our experts on 01763 261366 or email info@hflfinancial.com.
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